Saturday, November 17, 2007

random venting

Haven't posted anything in almost a week. Had to take a couple days off this week and when I have played the results haven't been that good. If I could catch a break or win a flip late would be nice. I made 1 FT this week in a $75 buy in on Tilt I don't remember what. Maybe the 14.5 or the 25K. I haven't had much else. I've had several small cashes and lots of finishes near the money. Tonight I blew up in the 25K $109. Having a huge stack after the bubble and was at least top 10 probably 7th or 8th if I had to guess and lost a monster flip for almost all of my chips and go out 28th place. I raise 88 on the btn and the SB insta reraises me and its an overbet. I think a second and just shove him and he calls me with AQo and turns an Ace and I'm crippled. I had him covered but not by much. He was getting almost 2:1 so I guess by that logic he has to call. Sure I had been a nit at the table and only shown down premium hands but he's getting 2:1 and he can fold and still have plenty of chips but you can't fold there...ever I mean come on its AQ. And my range includes no hands your ahead of. And hell I'm probably folding 88 and 99 and maybe AQ 1/2 the time. So he's facing TT+ and AK and AQ runs off great v/s that range. Then in a Stars classic setup about 3 hands later I shove JJ and run into QQ.

But I learned something tonight and thats obv no ever 3 bets with the intention of folding. So if I get 3 bet I should just muck anything thats not AA and even then I'm probably a coinflip at best to win. Which gets me to my other point of I lose way too many coinflips and should probably fold AA to a 3 bet as well if I'm only 50/50 to win.

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